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JACK IN THE BOX INC (JACK) Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 showed top-line pressure but a mixed headline: revenues fell 7.8% to $336.7M while non-GAAP Operating EPS was $1.20 and Adjusted EBITDA was $66.5M; GAAP diluted EPS was a loss of ($7.47) driven by a $203.2M non-cash impairment at Del Taco .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, JACK delivered a small revenue miss but an EPS and EBITDA beat: Revenue $336.7M vs $342.3M*, Operating EPS $1.20 vs $1.15*, Adjusted EBITDA $66.5M vs $66.0M*; the impairment does not affect Operating EPS or Adjusted EBITDA guidance (non-GAAP) .
  • Same-store sales declined at both brands: Jack in the Box -4.4% and Del Taco -3.6%, with traffic and mix headwinds; management cited tech rollout disruptions (estimated ~1–2% comp impact) and macro pressure on lower-income cohorts, with planned value and innovation to re-accelerate comps in H2 .
  • Guidance unchanged from the April 23 “JACK on Track” plan (CapEx $100–105M, Operating EPS $5.05–5.40, Adjusted EBITDA $282–292M; dividend discontinued). Strategic alternatives for Del Taco attracted “significant interest,” and a block closure program (150–200 units) will be detailed in August .
  • Near-term catalysts: clarity in August on closures, progress on Del Taco alternatives, and acceleration in digital/kiosk adoption (digital mix now 18% system-wide; ~1,500 restaurants with new POS/flip kiosks) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Non-GAAP profitability held up despite sales pressure: Operating EPS of $1.20 and Adjusted EBITDA of $66.5M; restaurant-level margins benefited from favorable beverage funding under a new contract .
  • Digital and technology progress: digital sales reached 18% system-wide, with new POS and flip kiosks in nearly 1,500 restaurants; management reiterated commitment to tech modernization and expects 20% digital ahead of schedule .
  • Strategic path clarity: “JACK on Track” initiatives to simplify the model, delever, close underperforming units, and pursue Del Taco strategic alternatives; early interest reported in the process .
    • CEO: “We will strengthen our balance sheet… close underperforming restaurants… and return overall simplicity to the Jack in the Box business model and our investor story” .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line weakness: total revenues down 7.8% YoY; comps negative at both brands as transactions and mix declined, partly offset by price .
  • Cost inflation and wage pressure: Jack labor costs +320 bps YoY to 33.8% of sales; Del labor +330 bps YoY to 38.2%, largely due to California minimum wage changes (AB1228) .
  • Non-cash impairment at Del Taco ($203.2M) drove GAAP loss and highlighted performance challenges at the brand; Del Taco restaurant-level margin fell to 12.8% (from 16.8%) .

Financial Results

Consolidated Finance and KPIs

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$365.3 $469.4 $336.7
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$1.26 $1.75 ($7.47)
Operating EPS (non-GAAP) ($)$1.46 $1.92 $1.20
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$75.7 $97.2 $66.5
Jack in the Box SSS (%)(2.5%) +0.4% (4.4%)
Del Taco SSS (%)(1.4%) (4.5%) (3.6%)

Consensus vs Actual (S&P Global; Q2 2025)

MetricConsensus*Actual
Revenue ($USD Millions)$342.3*$336.7
Operating EPS ($)$1.15*$1.20
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$66.0*$66.5

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Significance: Revenue miss; Operating EPS and Adjusted EBITDA beat.

Segment Margins and System Sales

Segment MetricQ2 2024Q2 2025
Jack Restaurant-Level Margin ($)$23.3 $18.7
Jack Restaurant-Level Margin (%)23.6% 19.6%
Jack Franchise-Level Margin ($)$71.7 $68.3
Jack Franchise-Level Margin (%)40.4% 40.0%
Jack Systemwide Sales ($USD ‘000s)$1,010,192 $960,704
Del Restaurant-Level Margin ($)$11.4 $6.1
Del Restaurant-Level Margin (%)16.8% 12.8%
Del Franchise-Level Margin ($)$6.1 $5.7
Del Franchise-Level Margin (%)28.9% 24.4%
Del Systemwide Sales ($USD ‘000s)$223,025 $212,993

Other KPIs

KPIQ2 2025
Digital mix (%)18% system-wide
POS/Flip kiosks deployed~1,500 restaurants
Jack openings/closures (Q2)5 opens / 12 closures
Del openings/closures (Q2)6 opens / 4 closures
Total Debt ($USD Millions)$1,716.7 (LT + current)
Available borrowing capacity ($USD Millions)$96.5
Net debt / Adjusted EBITDA (x)5.5x

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025$105–115M (Nov-20-2024) $100–105M (Apr-23-2025; reaffirmed Q2) Lowered
Share RepurchasesFY 2025~$20M (Nov-20-2024) ~$5–15M (Apr-23-2025; $5M done in Q1) Lowered
Adjusted/Operating EPS Tax RateFY 2025~27.5% (Nov-20-2024) ~26.0% (Apr-23-2025; reaffirmed Q2) Lowered
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)FY 2025$288–303M (Nov-20-2024) $282–292M (Apr-23-2025; reaffirmed Q2) Slightly Lowered
Operating EPS (non-GAAP)FY 2025$5.05–$5.45 (Nov-20-2024) $5.05–$5.40 (Apr-23-2025; reaffirmed Q2) Narrowed lower
Jack Same-Store SalesFY 2025Flat to +1% (Nov-20-2024) Negative low-to-mid single digits (Apr-23-2025; reaffirmed Q2) Lowered
Jack Gross OpeningsFY 202535–45 (Nov-20-2024) 35–40 (Apr-23-2025; reaffirmed Q2) Slightly Lower
Jack Company-Owned RLMFY 202520–22% (Nov-20-2024) 19–21% (Apr-23-2025; reaffirmed Q2) Lowered
DividendOngoing$0.44 declared in Q1; ongoing subject to BoD (Nov-2024) Discontinued (Apr-23-2025; reaffirmed Q2) Discontinued
Del Taco Brand GuidanceFY 2025Provided previously Suspended indefinitely (Apr-23-2025) Suspended

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2024 (Prior)Q1 2025 (Prior)Q2 2025 (Current)Trend
Digital/Tech rolloutPOS rollout progress; digital initiatives emphasized Nearly 1,000 restaurants on new POS 18% digital sales; ~1,500 POS/flip kiosks; temporary sales impact from legacy integration Accelerating, near-term operational friction
Consumer/macroManaged through difficult macro Positive SSS at Jack; macro headwinds expected in Q2 Negative traffic; pressure on low-income cohorts Persistent pressure
Pricing/valuePrice offsetting mix/traffic Barbell strategy; value leadership Focus on Munchie Meal, curated value; $9–$10 perceived value Reinforcing value narrative
California wage impactWage inflation noted Wage increase impact acknowledged Jack labor +320 bps; Del +330 bps; AB1228 referenced Ongoing headwind
Product innovationGrowth pipeline Menu optimization at Del New curly fry flavors; sold-out Nashville hot mozzarella sticks; Red Bull partnership Active innovation
Strategic actionsDevelopment agreements; growth Evaluating capital allocation “JACK on Track” plan; closure program; Del Taco alternatives with significant interest Simplification; asset-light pivot

Management Commentary

  • “Driving same-store sales is and always will be our top priority… digital is an area where continued investment will be tremendously important, and we remain committed to becoming a digital leader…” — CEO Lance Tucker .
  • “Helped by continued increases in first-party activity and flip kiosks, we are now at 18% digital sales system-wide… nearly 1,500 restaurants [with POS/flip kiosks].” — CEO Lance Tucker .
  • “Restaurant level margin percentage… decreased to 19.6% [Jack], down from 23.6% a year ago… driven primarily by lower sales… partially offset by price increases and favorable beverage funding.” — CFO Dawn Hooper .
  • “We will strengthen our balance sheet… pay down debt… close underperforming restaurants… and return overall simplicity to the business model.” — CEO Lance Tucker .
  • “We have had significant reach out and interest in [Del Taco]… feeling solidly that [divestiture] would be the option we would go down.” — CEO Lance Tucker .

Q&A Highlights

  • Comps trend and tech impact: Management indicated Q3 trends running in line with Q2, citing temporary tech integration issues contributing ~1–2% comp headwind and cautious consumer behavior .
  • Value positioning: Emphasis on barbell strategy, Munchie Meal, and curated value (including items under $4); acknowledgment that perceived value at $9–$10 can resonate via box meals .
  • Del Taco strategic alternatives: Early interest noted; focus on operations, marketing revamp, and menu additions during the process .
  • Closure program: Geographic impact expected to be broadly distributed and economics-driven; more detail in August .
  • Pricing carryover: Price carryover a little over ~2% for the remainder of the year .
  • Allowance for doubtful accounts: Increase tied to one specific franchise matter; closures not expected to elevate bad debt .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $336.7M vs $342.3M*, Operating EPS $1.20 vs $1.15*, Adjusted EBITDA $66.5M vs $66.0M* . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Forward look (consensus): FY 2025 Revenue ~$1.456B*, Adjusted EBITDA ~$270.5M*, EPS ~$4.62* (below company guidance of $282–292M Adjusted EBITDA and $5.05–$5.40 Operating EPS) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Implication: Street may need to reconcile company’s reaffirmed non-GAAP guidance with recent comp and margin dynamics; near-term revisions likely hinge on execution of tech rollout, value calendar, and closure plan details .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • H2 setup: With digital at 18% and tech modernization progressing, temporary onboarding issues should recede; management expects H2 marketing/value innovation to support stabilization — monitor Q3/Q4 comps and digital mix trajectory .
  • Non-GAAP resilience: Despite soft sales, Operating EPS and Adjusted EBITDA beat consensus; watch wage/utility inflation and beverage funding benefits’ durability .
  • Strategic simplification: “JACK on Track” catalysts—closure details in August, Del Taco strategic alternatives—could unlock cash flow and simplify the story; assess valuation impact from potential asset moves .
  • Guidance credibility: Company reaffirmed April 23 guidance; Street is below on FY Adjusted EBITDA/EPS—track execution vs barbell strategy and cost headwinds to gauge revision risk .
  • Balance sheet and leverage: Net debt/EBITDA at 5.5x; focus on real estate sales and dividend discontinuation to accelerate deleveraging; confirm progress on targeted paydown .
  • Margin levers: Beverage funding is a tailwind; wage inflation remains a headwind—monitor mix/pricing and delivery fees impact on occupancy/other .
  • Trading setup: Near-term moves likely keyed to August closure disclosures and Del Taco process updates; positive signals on comps/value could drive relief, while lingering tech friction or macro softness could cap upside .

All data cited to company documents and call remarks above. Values from S&P Global consensus marked with an asterisk and noted as retrieved from S&P Global.

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